shock
Energy and carbon regulatory shock.
Regulatory trajectories converge across jurisdictions. The concrete owner-side risk : stranded asset before holding horizon.
Regulatory trajectories converge across jurisdictions: Swiss MoPEC 2025, French décret tertiaire DEET with its −40/−50/−60 % staged reductions, EU EPBD recast, UK MEES ratchets. The envelope accounts for 70-80 % of a building's thermal losses and a substantial share of its embodied carbon. For any institutional portfolio, the question is no longer whether a retrofit wave will come, but which assets are at stranded-asset risk if the trajectory is not anticipated, and how the capex should be sequenced to align with SFDR or EU Taxonomy positioning.
A measured figure: 88 % of Swiss institutional investors expect the new energy and climate regulations to trigger substantial retrofit and restructuring requirements on the existing stock (EY Swiss Real Estate Investment Market Trend Barometer 2026, March 2026).
